Volcano activity overnight has continued at about the same level as yesterday. Small to moderate sized rockfalls signals have been the only type of seismic events recorded on the seismographs. The Chances Peak tiltmeter does not currently show any obvious cyclical behaviour but the long term trend deflationary trend has continued.
The volcano is overcast early this morning and no views of the summit are possible yet. Heavy rainfall has occurred during the early morning and mudflows can be expected during the day - if the inclement weather continues.
People are reminded that mudflows can be extremely hot if recent deposits are remobilised by heavy rain. The current area of activity in the crater still makes Mosquito Ghaut and Gages the most likely pathways for pyroclastic flows and surges, but further flows in Tuitt's or Tar River are possible. The Belham River valley is also dangerous and should not be entered. Access to Plymouth is completely restricted, and people should stay completely away from the flanks of the volcano. Everyone should continue to stay alert, and listen to Radio Montserrat for any announcements.