The volcano has been at a low level of activity overnight, producing mostly rockfalls and steam and gas venting signals on the seismograph records. A hybrid swarm started at around 4:00 am this morning and is still in progress. If the recent pattern of activity which developed over the last two weeks is followed, this swarm will be followed by a period of sustained pyroclastic flow during the course of the day.
The winds are blowing from the south east so it is likely that there could be ash fall in the safe zone. The volcano is partially obscured by cloud again this morning.
Volcanic activity is still concentrated on the northern side of the dome with rockfall debris banking up against the northern wall. The probability of pyroclastic flows breaking into Mosquito, Tuitt's and White's Ghauts remains high. Visits to the central corridor should be restricted to those that are absolutely essential, and it should not be used as a route to the airport. The Galways, Tar River and Long Ground areas are extremely dangerous, and should not be entered.